Thursday, July 26, 2007

Mortgage Deliquencies: Destined to Rise

A headline I saw today: "Mortgage Rates Could Soar". Could is not the word I would use. From the story:

"The already poor performance of many mortgage loans will worsen substantially through the rest of the year, according to an analysis released Thursday by Moody's Economy.com."

"The worst-hit loan category will be subprime adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs). Economy.com expects foreclosures for those loans to hit 10 percent of that group by mid-2008. The foreclosure rate for that group is currently 4 percent and was as low as 2.5 percent in 2005."

When you consider the looming mortgage rate reset that's just starting out, it's illogical to think mortgage rates could soar. Could implies that it's a possibility or even a probability. It's way passed that. Mortgage rates will soar, perhaps into the realm of federal bailout. There will be a lot of people who will need a lot of financial help in the coming months and years and there will be a lot of people who lose their home. The population's current financial IQ is poor at best and it's something I think that will be a huge hindrance to our future economic growth.

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