Monday, July 2, 2007

Gold Funds, Mining Stocks

Gold is getting primed to take a shot up. To cash in, I suggest these ETFs: iShares Comex Gold Trust (IAU) and Streettracks Gold Trust (GLD). The former ended trading today at $65.10 while the latter ended trading at $65.02. I also recommend two mining companies: Newmont Mining Corp (NEM) and Barrick Gold Corp (ABX). The former ended trading today at $39.89 while the latter ended trading at $29.79.

This graph displays the three measures of the money supply:


You'll notice that M1 and M2 extend further out than M3. (Definitions of the components of the money supply can be found here.) The government claimed in 2006 that M3 didn't produce enough useful information to justify the cost of tracking it. You can see where it was heading - up up up. The textbook definition of inflation is an increase in the supply of money. An increase in the money supply causes prices to increase. Since the beginning of the NASDAQ bubble, the money supply has taken off. Major contributing factors include low interest rates, relaxed mortgage lending standards, and major expansions in revolving credit. With every loan made, the money supply expands causing inflation. Inflation is WONDERFUL for gold, gold funds, and mining stocks, thus my recommendations.

No comments: